Republicans Outpacing Democrats In Key States As 15 Million Cast Early Votes

With over 15 million votes already cast in the 2024 presidential election, Republicans are seeing positive early voting trends, particularly in battleground states like Arizona and Nevada. According to data from the University of Florida’s Election Lab, 5 million people have voted early in person, while 10 million have submitted mail-in ballots. With 56 million mail-in ballot requests, a surge in voting is expected in the coming days.

In Arizona, Republicans are leading Democrats and Independents in ballots returned by low-propensity voters. These voters, who have not consistently participated in previous elections, are expected to play a significant role in determining the outcome of the race. The GOP is making gains by engaging these less active voters, which could help secure a win for President Donald J. Trump in the state.

Similarly, in Nevada, Republicans are showing strong early voting performance, particularly among low-propensity voters. While Democrats hold an advantage in mail-in ballots, the GOP’s success in mobilizing less frequent voters could narrow the gap as Election Day approaches.

Pennsylvania, a key battleground state, is seeing slower turnout, particularly among Democrats. Absentee ballot requests from Democrats are down by approximately 1.2 million compared to 2020, while Republicans have only seen a drop of about 250,000. This lag in Democratic turnout could work to the Republicans’ advantage.

As the election draws closer, Republicans are making gains in crucial states, positioning themselves for potential victories in the final days of the race.