CNN Analyst: Biden’s Best Hope For 2024 Victory Lies In Three Key States

President Joe Biden’s most viable route to victory in the 2024 election depends heavily on winning three pivotal states that he narrowly captured in the last presidential race, according to CNN’s data expert Harry Enten.

In a recent segment, Enten pointed out that Biden is slightly behind former President Donald Trump by 0.5% in a direct comparison of national polls, as per the RealClearPolling average. This lead increases to 1.3% when independent contenders Cornel West, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are included in the mix. Enten singled out Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin as the critical battlegrounds that could determine Biden’s chances of securing another term.

“This pathway to 270 electoral votes is Biden’s most plausible strategy based on current polling and historical results,” Enten explained during an appearance on “CNN News Central” with host Sara Sidner. “Look at the tight margins: Trump has a slight lead in Pennsylvania, while Michigan and Wisconsin are essentially tied. Winning all three would bring Biden to exactly 270 electoral votes.”

In the 2020 election, Biden secured Michigan with a 2.8% margin, Pennsylvania by 1.2%, and Wisconsin by a slim 0.7%. Currently, Trump is ahead by 0.2% in Michigan, 2.3% in Pennsylvania, and 0.3% in Wisconsin, according to the RealClearPolling average. By comparison, on June 20, 2020, Biden led in these states by 8.4%, 5.7%, and 5.4%, respectively.

When considering additional candidates like West, Kennedy, and Stein, Trump’s lead narrows to 0.1% in Michigan, 2.9% in Pennsylvania, and 0.3% in Wisconsin, based on the same polling data.